Saturday, May 5, 2012

The Avengers: Worldwide Forecast (Updated) $400+ million??



After an incredible April with The Hunger Games passing the $360 line mark, May is also going to be a stellar month with The Avengers on the top list. After eight films from the Avengers, five of them are now going to merge to make The Avengers. The ensemble movie is a very good candidate for the billion-dollar club since it encompasses four different series in the Marvel Comic. Iron Man 2 is the highest-grossing Avengers film that amassed about $624 million globally. The merging of four different films should attract fans of all four series, leading to more ticket sales. On Facebook, Iron Man has 8 million likes whereas Thor, Captain America have around 2.6 million fans each. The least of all is the Incredible Hulk with 1.2 million likes. Such a merging should call in many fans and thereby increasing ticket sales. Early reviews are also almost universally positive among critics with a 96% approval rating. Not only are critics pleased by the movie, but also many early watchers are calling it the "best-super hero movie yet." Such positive reviews portend good hold ups after its upcoming debut.

 Disney did a good job focusing on Iron Man and Thor in the trailers, as they are the most popular characters in the Avenger series. Even from now, the Disney superhero extravaganza is generating bigger prerelease interest than The Dark Knight or The Hunger Games both of which opened to more than $150 million. With this trend, The Avengers could score one of the biggest domestic openings of all time for a superhero film. After amassing $80.5 million on its opening day (Friday)—the second biggest opening of all-time—, it currently is on track to open north of $170 million over its opening weekend setting the highest-opening weekend of all-time. Beware; Harry Potter’s biggest-opening weekend is at stake. Expect a North American revenue of $398 million.

 Since the superhero ensemble film is going to be released in 3D, the international revenue should see a note-worthy increase. Iron Man 2 grossed $331 million internationally without 3D. Considering the fact that the international market has grown over the years, an international gross of $450+ million would not be a surprise. Transformers: The Dark of the Moon, also, contains a destructive scene similar to that of The Avengers. Transformers went on to gross $771 million internationally. With this week’s news to wait for, an international forecast of $549 million seems on par with what films in this situation would unfold. Expect the superhero extravaganza to gross north of $900 million worldwide.

 Worldwide Forecast (Box office gross): $947 million

Sunday, April 29, 2012

The Avengers: Can it gross more than $1 billion?

Smashing records in many markets and opening #1 in virtually every market, The Avengers has already grossed $218.2 million internationally(including its $185.1 million international debut) and is a good contender to pass the $1 billion mark.   More coverage coming soon

Friday, April 13, 2012

Thursday, April 5, 2012

Titanic 3D: Opening weekend

With three strong movies this weekend, Titanic is expected to be the victor. Considering the fact that Titanic is set to be released a few days before American Reunion, it gives the James Cameron's spectacle a good chance to score more money. On its opening day, the 3D release is expected to kick off The Hunger Games from the #1 seat with approximately $6 million. As of now, Fandago is reporting that Titanic is responsible for 50% of daily sales including 3D theaters. Expect Titanic 3D to garner $49 million from  its Wednesday to Sunday debut frame.

Opening in virtually all markets across the world, Titanic has the chance to bewitch fans again. Titanic in 1998 grossed more than $1.2 billion internationally and now with the chance to cruise in theaters Titanic is poised to gross more than $90 million internationally. With good presales in China, interest in other Asia  countries should also follow. Japan will also remain the most interesting market as it is the second highest-grossing market in global terms with $201 million in the bank. Expect a final international gross of $110 million.


Saturday, March 31, 2012

Titanic 3D: Worldwide Forecast


Titanic 3D re-release(6 April, 2012)

Revisiting theaters after 15 years, Titanic—the highest-grossing non-3D film—is expected to debut to a staggering re-release opening both in North America and non-North American Markets. With Lion King’s (3D) impressive worldwide revenue, 3D re-releases have been appealing and lucrative for movie companies. Considering that Titanic is more popular than Lion King, James Cameron’s spectacle has a higher chance to gross above $157 million and pass the $2 billion mark. The trailer of the re-release evokes the same suspense and thrill the original film had but with a new flavor. Although the total number of trailer views are low, facebook likes have increased(by 7 million) over the months suggesting an interest among adults rather than teenagers.

Titanic finished its run in 1998 after the video of the film was actually released. With the chance of being released again, Titanic can easily gross more than $185 million worldwide. Expect it to be the second film to pass the $2 billion mark.
Worldwide Forecast: $175-210 million

Check out the trailer:

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

The Hunger Games: Second Weekend Predictions & Wrath of the Titans Opening Weekend

After a record-setting debut for The Hunger Games, Gary Ross's book-to-film adaptation will remain in the number one spot for the upcoming weekend. Although there are notable new-comers, The Hunger Games’ popularity will hold well. An indication of the films on-going popularity is a good 4% Monday-to-Tuesday decrease that is significantly lower than Alice in Wonderland’s 11% decrease. In addition to the film's great amassing power, early word of mouth seems to be quite strong given the film's A rating on CinemaScore. Expect the Hunger Games to rake in $73.7 million this weekend. It is also a good contender for the all-time biggest second weekend gross which is currently held by Avatar with $75.62 million. However, due to both the cut-down in IMAX theatres and the introduction of new popular movies this week, The Hunger Games will have a hard time grossing anywhere above $75 million.
Scene from the latest film in the Clash of the Titans franchise

Competing against The Hunger Games, Wrath of the Titans doesn't seem to have the same wrath of its predecessor. With a weak start in twitter feeds and comment activity, the sequel of Clash of the Titans will have a low chance to make the same amount of money as the first film in the Titan franchise. Although the film has never been powerful in North-America, it still is an important element for the total revenue.

Warner's Clash of the Titans debuted to $61.24 million in its opening weekend. However, during the first film's debut frame competition wasn't similar to that which WoT is in. Look for Wrath of the Titans to gross a below par $38.7 million over its opening weekend.



Tuesday, March 27, 2012

Movie Updates



·         The Hangover Part III and an untitled ‘300’ sequel are in production for a release date of May 24, 2013 and August 2, 2013 respectively.

·         Transformers 4 is set to be released on July 27, 2014. Michael Bay is expected to reprise his role as director, but Shia La Beouf will not return to the Transformers series. Although “Sam Witwicky” is out of the coming picture, some stars from the previous films can still play a role in the upcoming Transformers.

·         The new official release year for Avatar 2 is 2016, a delay of 2 years from 2014. News suggests that James Cameron’s high tech equipment will need time for the sublime oceans of Pandora.

The Hunger Games Worldwide Forecast

The Hunger Games opened to a staggering $152 million for its opening weekend. It's opening weekend currently ranks as the third biggest opening weekend and the biggest opening weekend for a non-sequel. Compared to Twilight, the gender percentage was 69% female(31% male) which was relatively higher than Twilight's usual 80% female audience. A sign of a varied audience and good Flixter ratings(87%) portends strong-holds for the weeks to come. Moreover, the fact that it didn't open in 3D and scored such a high opening suggests that 2D is still capable of pulling in big numbers. The Hunger Games is better compared to Harry Potter in North American terms and may even surpass the ultimate Harry Potter film. Expect a North American gross of $348 million.

In an international view, The Hunger Games was less interesting and garnered a mediocre $59.25 million--second biggest international debut of 2012--from 69 markets for the #1 seat this weekend. A low opening internationally is expected as the book is less known overseas and the marketing efforts of Lion Gate were effete and powerless compared to its efficacious and powerful domestic promotion. However, if a sequel is to be made(which is very likely), higher international grosses wouldn't be a surprise. In present time, nonetheless, The Hunger Games, wouldn't have much trouble to aim north of $234 million from non-North American markets.

Worldwide Forecast: $582 million
UPDATE:*Catching Fire sequel is in works as announced by Lionsgate.
This week is going to be interesting to see how much the film drops...




'Hunger Games' Sequel 'Catching Fire': Is it going to happen?

Considering the spectacular debut of the Hunger Games a sequel would only seem logical and profitable. Read The Hunger Games Worldwide Forecast for more information about the "odds" of  having a sequel--Catching Fire.
Official Release Date: November 22, 2013 (redolent of Harry Potter???)

Sunday, March 25, 2012

Wrath of the Titans: Worldwide Forecast


1.   Wrath of the Titans In 3D (29 March, 2012)
Wrath of the Titans Banner
The sequel of Clash of the Titans is poised to kick-start the year with the largest- international opening weekend of 2012. The second film in the Clash of the Titans franchise, distributed by Warner's Bros., will star Sam Worthington and Liam Neeson. The predecessor brought in $493 million globally while most critics disparaged its 3D post-conversion. The sequel is also supposed to be released in 3D.

 However, in order to avoid any 3D-conversion criticism, producer Basil Iwanyk, was meticulous in post-converting the film to 3D. The studio also claims that  quality of conversion was far superior than that of Clash of the Titans. WoT should gross more money in non-north America markets than its predecessor. However, in North America, it's less likely that it will make a huge increase due to the lack of interest in 3D and sequels. Expect it to gross around $485 million worldwide.

Worldwide Forecast: $490 million


Comments: Definitely an improvement over Clash of the Titans--going deeper into the mythology of the Greeks and the characters. However, all this is plastered with garish action effects and a plot that has the potential to be great but lacks any logical sequence.